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Portfolio Strategy & Risk Research

Portfolio Strategy & Risk Research

Asset allocation, concentration, drawdowns, stress testing and portfolio risk analysis.

06 / RESEARCH CONTENT

Bring allocation, exposure, liquidity and cash needs into one view. Investigate which risks are diversified, which remain shared and how the portfolio behaves when normal market relationships change.

Research scope & analytical methods

01 / ANALYSIS

Allocation and constraints

Start with funding purpose, horizon, base currency, cash requirements and capacity for loss. Define the roles of liquid assets, derivatives and long-term private holdings. Compare withdrawal windows, capital commitments and valuation methods. Document the conditions that would prompt a reassessment of the allocation.

02 / ANALYSIS

Concentration and look-through

Review assets, sectors, regions, currencies, venues, custodians and shared risk factors. Multiple funds or tokens may depend on the same industry or platform. Derivatives require notional and sensitivity measures alongside capital invested; counting margin alone can understate exposure.

03 / ANALYSIS

Drawdown and recovery

Measure a decline from an earlier portfolio peak using the chosen valuation and cash-flow convention. Illustration: a value declining from 100 to 85 has a 15% drawdown; recovering from 85 to 100 requires approximately 17.65% growth. Review depth, duration and recovery time. A historical maximum is not a future loss limit.

04 / ANALYSIS

Correlation and risk contribution

Compare co-movement using consistent observation windows and frequencies. Study stressed periods separately, since historical low correlation does not guarantee diversification. Infrequently valued assets can show lagged volatility. Explain the model, data and sensitivity behind risk-contribution estimates.

05 / ANALYSIS

Joint stress and liquidity

Test scenarios such as simultaneous equity and crypto declines, higher volatility, collateral calls, restricted withdrawals and delayed private exits. Illustration: a 30% assumed decline on a position valued at 200,000 creates a direct valuation change of minus 60,000. Portfolio results must also include other holdings, nonlinear effects, costs and cash requirements.

06 / ANALYSIS

Integrated risk reporting

Present exposures, concentration, drawdowns, stress losses, available cash and data quality together. Separate price, leverage, counterparty and liquidity risks. Record dates, assumptions, valuation sources and unresolved items, with review triggers rather than an unsupported promise of protection.

Research & working process

  1. Build the holdings record

    Normalize values, currencies, cash flows and contract terms.

  2. Identify underlying exposure

    Map shared factors, notional amounts, sensitivities and exit restrictions.

  3. Calculate and compare

    Review concentration, drawdowns and joint stress cash requirements.

  4. Set review priorities

    Record gaps, vulnerabilities and update triggers.

Deliverables & report structure

Allocation and exposure overview

Weights, notionals, currencies, counterparties and liquidity categories.

Concentration and drawdown analysis

Shared risks, historical losses, recovery periods and definitions.

Stress and cash report

Scenario parameters, valuation changes and collateral needs.

Risk review agenda

Outstanding evidence, breaches and alternative adjustment considerations.

Project scope, datasets, format and reporting frequency are agreed for the specific assignment.

Illustrations explain mechanisms and use no client holdings or current forecasts. Stress results do not establish a worst possible loss.

Related product areas

Mechanism, cost, liquidity and risk analysis inform the understanding of these instruments. Actual arrangements require review of product terms, objectives and implementation conditions.

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